Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic time-series of the number of deaths accross the most affected countries plus Japan and South Korea.
Forecast of the evolution of the time-series (note that this model is not appropiate to model several waves on the pandemic). Two naive prediction models are available (choose the model to display with the button on the graphs):

• Predict (L): simple a naive growth curve prediction model based on a logictic function. This model tends to underestimate the predicted values.
• Predict (R): simple a naive growth curve prediction model based on a Richards' curve. This model seems to better fit the data but the predicted values may be less reliable when few data are available.

Click here to see the graphics:

• Absolute number of deaths per country
• Relative number of deaths per millions of inhabitants of each country (Time has been set such that Time0 is ~ 2 deaths for 1 million of inhabitants)
• Daily number of deaths per country

Click here to see the graphics for USA:

• Absolute number of deaths per state
• Relative number of deaths per millions of inhabitants of each country (Time has been set such that Time0 is ~ 2 deaths for 1 million of inhabitants)
• Daily number of deaths per state

Notes:

• The prediction (with confidence interval) is made whenever there are at least 21 values since the first reported death in a country.

Data:

• COVID-19 data from: Johns Hopkins University
• Population by country from United Nations
• Population by state from US Census

Source code:

• available here